Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, positioning Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. The current centre-right government led by Ulf Kristersson has seen its coalition partners lose ground, with the Moderate Party and its allies projected to fall short of a majority even with Sweden Democrats support. Kristersson’s April announcement that he would grant the Sweden Democrats key cabinet roles on immigration and integration if re-elected has sharpened voter divisions without shifting the overall polling trend. These dynamics have kept Andersson probabilities elevated while capping gains for Kristersson and smaller-party alternatives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächster Premierminister von Schweden
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,933 Vol.
$1,953,933 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,933 Vol.
$1,953,933 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, positioning Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. The current centre-right government led by Ulf Kristersson has seen its coalition partners lose ground, with the Moderate Party and its allies projected to fall short of a majority even with Sweden Democrats support. Kristersson’s April announcement that he would grant the Sweden Democrats key cabinet roles on immigration and integration if re-elected has sharpened voter divisions without shifting the overall polling trend. These dynamics have kept Andersson probabilities elevated while capping gains for Kristersson and smaller-party alternatives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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