Recent polling for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party near 17 percent. This ordering has held steady through July surveys from multiple firms, with the centre-right governing bloc trailing the red-green opposition by double digits. The Moderate Party's position as the consistent third-place contender reflects its stable support base and the Sweden Democrats' sustained edge in the right-leaning vote. Limited movement in bloc totals or individual party shares over the past month has reinforced trader expectations for this finish order, though final turnout and late campaign dynamics could still alter the margin between second and third.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModerate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
15%

Moderate Party (M)
84%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
15%

Moderate Party (M)
84%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party near 17 percent. This ordering has held steady through July surveys from multiple firms, with the centre-right governing bloc trailing the red-green opposition by double digits. The Moderate Party's position as the consistent third-place contender reflects its stable support base and the Sweden Democrats' sustained edge in the right-leaning vote. Limited movement in bloc totals or individual party shares over the past month has reinforced trader expectations for this finish order, though final turnout and late campaign dynamics could still alter the margin between second and third.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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