Recent polling trends position the Moderate Party as the frontrunner to finish third in the September 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. The Social Democrats lead with roughly 32-34% support, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderates at 18-20% versus 17-19%. This ordering reflects the current right-wing government's challenges, including ongoing concerns over gang violence, immigration policy implementation under the Tidö framework, and economic pressures, which have sustained the opposition's bloc advantage. The Moderates benefit from incumbency visibility and coalition infrastructure, yet close gaps between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates introduce volatility that could shift second- and third-place finishes as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModerate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 2.1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.6%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%
Moderate Party (M)
55%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
1%
Green Party (MP)
2%
Liberals (L)
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 2.1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.6%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$362 Vol.
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$1,479 Vol.
37%
Moderate Party (M)
$1,347 Vol.
55%
Centre Party (C)
$649 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$622 Vol.
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$636 Vol.
1%
Green Party (MP)
$579 Vol.
2%
Liberals (L)
$552 Vol.
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$735 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position the Moderate Party as the frontrunner to finish third in the September 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. The Social Democrats lead with roughly 32-34% support, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderates at 18-20% versus 17-19%. This ordering reflects the current right-wing government's challenges, including ongoing concerns over gang violence, immigration policy implementation under the Tidö framework, and economic pressures, which have sustained the opposition's bloc advantage. The Moderates benefit from incumbency visibility and coalition infrastructure, yet close gaps between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates introduce volatility that could shift second- and third-place finishes as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volumen
$6,963Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position the Moderate Party as the frontrunner to finish third in the September 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. The Social Democrats lead with roughly 32-34% support, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderates at 18-20% versus 17-19%. This ordering reflects the current right-wing government's challenges, including ongoing concerns over gang violence, immigration policy implementation under the Tidö framework, and economic pressures, which have sustained the opposition's bloc advantage. The Moderates benefit from incumbency visibility and coalition infrastructure, yet close gaps between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates introduce volatility that could shift second- and third-place finishes as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$6,963Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position the Moderate Party as the frontrunner to finish third in the September 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. The Social Democrats lead with roughly 32-34% support, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderates at 18-20% versus 17-19%. This ordering reflects the current right-wing government's challenges, including ongoing concerns over gang violence, immigration policy implementation under the Tidö framework, and economic pressures, which have sustained the opposition's bloc advantage. The Moderates benefit from incumbency visibility and coalition infrastructure, yet close gaps between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates introduce volatility that could shift second- and third-place finishes as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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