Recent Swedish opinion polls through May 2026 show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support—combined at 42–46 percent, well short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority. The centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats at 32–34 percent, leads at 52–55 percent in multiple surveys, including the latest SCB release. This sustained gap reflects voter shifts since the 2022 election, where the Tidö arrangement secured power with a slim edge. With the September 13 vote approaching, traders price the current bloc trajectory as the dominant factor, though late campaign dynamics or turnout changes among smaller parties could still narrow margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls through May 2026 show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support—combined at 42–46 percent, well short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority. The centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats at 32–34 percent, leads at 52–55 percent in multiple surveys, including the latest SCB release. This sustained gap reflects voter shifts since the 2022 election, where the Tidö arrangement secured power with a slim edge. With the September 13 vote approaching, traders price the current bloc trajectory as the dominant factor, though late campaign dynamics or turnout changes among smaller parties could still narrow margins.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volumen
$720Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls through May 2026 show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support—combined at 42–46 percent, well short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority. The centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats at 32–34 percent, leads at 52–55 percent in multiple surveys, including the latest SCB release. This sustained gap reflects voter shifts since the 2022 election, where the Tidö arrangement secured power with a slim edge. With the September 13 vote approaching, traders price the current bloc trajectory as the dominant factor, though late campaign dynamics or turnout changes among smaller parties could still narrow margins.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$720Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls through May 2026 show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support—combined at 42–46 percent, well short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority. The centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats at 32–34 percent, leads at 52–55 percent in multiple surveys, including the latest SCB release. This sustained gap reflects voter shifts since the 2022 election, where the Tidö arrangement secured power with a slim edge. With the September 13 vote approaching, traders price the current bloc trajectory as the dominant factor, though late campaign dynamics or turnout changes among smaller parties could still narrow margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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