Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
8% Chance
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
Ja
8% Chance
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volumen
$5,115Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$5,115Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?
99%
Ja
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
84%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
85%
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen