Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—trailing the Red-Green opposition by roughly 10–13 points, with the governing side at 42–45 percent and the centre-left at 53–55 percent. Statistics Sweden’s June survey and subsequent Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop releases have sustained this gap, reflecting limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, immigration, and economic issues. The Liberals’ persistently low support near the four-percent threshold further constrains bloc totals, while the Social Democrats remain anchored above 31 percent. These consistent survey trends underpin trader consensus that the Tidö parties face structural barriers to securing the 175 seats required for a parliamentary majority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
8% Chance
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
Ja
8% Chance
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—trailing the Red-Green opposition by roughly 10–13 points, with the governing side at 42–45 percent and the centre-left at 53–55 percent. Statistics Sweden’s June survey and subsequent Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop releases have sustained this gap, reflecting limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, immigration, and economic issues. The Liberals’ persistently low support near the four-percent threshold further constrains bloc totals, while the Social Democrats remain anchored above 31 percent. These consistent survey trends underpin trader consensus that the Tidö parties face structural barriers to securing the 175 seats required for a parliamentary majority.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volumen
$5,115Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—trailing the Red-Green opposition by roughly 10–13 points, with the governing side at 42–45 percent and the centre-left at 53–55 percent. Statistics Sweden’s June survey and subsequent Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop releases have sustained this gap, reflecting limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, immigration, and economic issues. The Liberals’ persistently low support near the four-percent threshold further constrains bloc totals, while the Social Democrats remain anchored above 31 percent. These consistent survey trends underpin trader consensus that the Tidö parties face structural barriers to securing the 175 seats required for a parliamentary majority.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$5,115Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—trailing the Red-Green opposition by roughly 10–13 points, with the governing side at 42–45 percent and the centre-left at 53–55 percent. Statistics Sweden’s June survey and subsequent Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop releases have sustained this gap, reflecting limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, immigration, and economic issues. The Liberals’ persistently low support near the four-percent threshold further constrains bloc totals, while the Social Democrats remain anchored above 31 percent. These consistent survey trends underpin trader consensus that the Tidö parties face structural barriers to securing the 175 seats required for a parliamentary majority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?
99%
Ja
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
84%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
85%
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