The preliminary September 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index printed at 47.8, below consensus expectations near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline amid resurgent fuel prices above $4.30 per gallon and ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict. This drove broad-based weakness in both the current conditions and expectations components, with year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%—the highest since June—while long-run expectations edged up to 3.4%. Traders have priced the final release, due September 25, heavily toward the 46.0-48.9 range as recent survey methodology and historical revision patterns suggest limited movement from the preliminary print, though any further gasoline price spikes or labor market softening could introduce downside pressure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert46,0 bis 48,9 75%
43,0 bis 45,9 21%
49,0 bis 51,9 4.2%
55,0 bis 57,9 4.2%
$10,718 Vol.
$10,718 Vol.
25. Sep. 2026
Unter 43,0
4%
43,0 bis 45,9
21%
46,0 bis 48,9
75%
49,0 bis 51,9
4%
52,0 bis 54,9
<1%
55,0 bis 57,9
4%
58,0+
<1%
46,0 bis 48,9 75%
43,0 bis 45,9 21%
49,0 bis 51,9 4.2%
55,0 bis 57,9 4.2%
$10,718 Vol.
$10,718 Vol.
25. Sep. 2026
Unter 43,0
$755 Vol.
4%
43,0 bis 45,9
$1,491 Vol.
21%
46,0 bis 48,9
$5,726 Vol.
75%
49,0 bis 51,9
$595 Vol.
4%
52,0 bis 54,9
$470 Vol.
<1%
55,0 bis 57,9
$1,238 Vol.
4%
58,0+
$442 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary September 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index printed at 47.8, below consensus expectations near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline amid resurgent fuel prices above $4.30 per gallon and ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict. This drove broad-based weakness in both the current conditions and expectations components, with year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%—the highest since June—while long-run expectations edged up to 3.4%. Traders have priced the final release, due September 25, heavily toward the 46.0-48.9 range as recent survey methodology and historical revision patterns suggest limited movement from the preliminary print, though any further gasoline price spikes or labor market softening could introduce downside pressure.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volumen
$10,718Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary September 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index printed at 47.8, below consensus expectations near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline amid resurgent fuel prices above $4.30 per gallon and ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict. This drove broad-based weakness in both the current conditions and expectations components, with year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%—the highest since June—while long-run expectations edged up to 3.4%. Traders have priced the final release, due September 25, heavily toward the 46.0-48.9 range as recent survey methodology and historical revision patterns suggest limited movement from the preliminary print, though any further gasoline price spikes or labor market softening could introduce downside pressure.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$10,718Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary September 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index printed at 47.8, below consensus expectations near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline amid resurgent fuel prices above $4.30 per gallon and ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict. This drove broad-based weakness in both the current conditions and expectations components, with year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%—the highest since June—while long-run expectations edged up to 3.4%. Traders have priced the final release, due September 25, heavily toward the 46.0-48.9 range as recent survey methodology and historical revision patterns suggest limited movement from the preliminary print, though any further gasoline price spikes or labor market softening could introduce downside pressure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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