Recent diplomatic progress between Israel and Lebanon, including U.S.-brokered talks and a June 2026 framework agreement on border security arrangements, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament, has reduced immediate escalation risks around Beirut. Following the February ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel and families amid regional tensions, the embassy has remained operational with essential staff only. Ongoing ceasefire understandings and direct negotiation momentum continue to shape trader views on whether security conditions would trigger a fuller evacuation by September 30. Any renewed cross-border strikes or breakdown in implementation could still shift assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDie USA evakuieren die Botschaft von Beirut bis zum...?
Die USA evakuieren die Botschaft von Beirut bis zum...?
$117,489 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
31. Dezember
5%
$117,489 Vol.
31. Dezember
$23,387 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent diplomatic progress between Israel and Lebanon, including U.S.-brokered talks and a June 2026 framework agreement on border security arrangements, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament, has reduced immediate escalation risks around Beirut. Following the February ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel and families amid regional tensions, the embassy has remained operational with essential staff only. Ongoing ceasefire understandings and direct negotiation momentum continue to shape trader views on whether security conditions would trigger a fuller evacuation by September 30. Any renewed cross-border strikes or breakdown in implementation could still shift assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$117,489Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent diplomatic progress between Israel and Lebanon, including U.S.-brokered talks and a June 2026 framework agreement on border security arrangements, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament, has reduced immediate escalation risks around Beirut. Following the February ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel and families amid regional tensions, the embassy has remained operational with essential staff only. Ongoing ceasefire understandings and direct negotiation momentum continue to shape trader views on whether security conditions would trigger a fuller evacuation by September 30. Any renewed cross-border strikes or breakdown in implementation could still shift assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$117,489Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic progress between Israel and Lebanon, including U.S.-brokered talks and a June 2026 framework agreement on border security arrangements, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament, has reduced immediate escalation risks around Beirut. Following the February ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. personnel and families amid regional tensions, the embassy has remained operational with essential staff only. Ongoing ceasefire understandings and direct negotiation momentum continue to shape trader views on whether security conditions would trigger a fuller evacuation by September 30. Any renewed cross-border strikes or breakdown in implementation could still shift assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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