Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVA-11 Wahlsieger
VA-11 Wahlsieger
$22,158 Vol.
$22,158 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$22,158 Vol.
$22,158 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$12,379 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$9,780 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$22,158Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,158Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen