Recent polling aggregates place PSOE-A seat projections in the mid-20s range, sustaining tight trader consensus between the 24-26 and 27-29 brackets ahead of the May 17 regional vote. Surveys from firms including Sigma Dos, GAD3, and NC Report show the party holding 21-25 percent vote share, its weakest performance in Andalusia in decades, as the PP consolidates centrist and conservative support toward an absolute majority. This positioning reflects stable trends through the final weeks of campaigning, with minor left-wing parties drawing limited additional votes. Late developments such as turnout differentials across provinces or any last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still separate the leading outcomes before final results determine market resolution.