Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$7,591Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,591Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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