Recent agency actions and stable outlooks underpin the 75% market-implied odds against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Moody’s completed its cycle with the May 2025 shift to Aa1 and a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed AA+ with stable outlook in August 2025 and S&P maintained comparable positioning, signaling no immediate further cuts absent sharp fiscal deterioration. Strong global demand for Treasuries, supported by the dollar’s reserve status, has contained yields despite debt exceeding $39 trillion and CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP. Agency review timelines of 12–18 months limit near-term pressure, though fiscal 2026 budget outcomes, FOMC rate decisions, and any geopolitical shocks remain key swing factors for trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?
¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?
Sí
$11,490 Vol.
$11,490 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$11,490 Vol.
$11,490 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent agency actions and stable outlooks underpin the 75% market-implied odds against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Moody’s completed its cycle with the May 2025 shift to Aa1 and a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed AA+ with stable outlook in August 2025 and S&P maintained comparable positioning, signaling no immediate further cuts absent sharp fiscal deterioration. Strong global demand for Treasuries, supported by the dollar’s reserve status, has contained yields despite debt exceeding $39 trillion and CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP. Agency review timelines of 12–18 months limit near-term pressure, though fiscal 2026 budget outcomes, FOMC rate decisions, and any geopolitical shocks remain key swing factors for trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Volumen
$11,490Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent agency actions and stable outlooks underpin the 75% market-implied odds against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Moody’s completed its cycle with the May 2025 shift to Aa1 and a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed AA+ with stable outlook in August 2025 and S&P maintained comparable positioning, signaling no immediate further cuts absent sharp fiscal deterioration. Strong global demand for Treasuries, supported by the dollar’s reserve status, has contained yields despite debt exceeding $39 trillion and CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP. Agency review timelines of 12–18 months limit near-term pressure, though fiscal 2026 budget outcomes, FOMC rate decisions, and any geopolitical shocks remain key swing factors for trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$11,490Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent agency actions and stable outlooks underpin the 75% market-implied odds against another U.S. sovereign downgrade before 2027. Moody’s completed its cycle with the May 2025 shift to Aa1 and a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed AA+ with stable outlook in August 2025 and S&P maintained comparable positioning, signaling no immediate further cuts absent sharp fiscal deterioration. Strong global demand for Treasuries, supported by the dollar’s reserve status, has contained yields despite debt exceeding $39 trillion and CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP. Agency review timelines of 12–18 months limit near-term pressure, though fiscal 2026 budget outcomes, FOMC rate decisions, and any geopolitical shocks remain key swing factors for trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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