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icon for ¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?

¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?

¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?

12% probabilidad
Polymarket

$13,253 Vol.

12% probabilidad
Polymarket

$13,253 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by major credit rating agencies underpin trader expectations against another US sovereign downgrade before 2027. Fitch maintained its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2026, citing the economy’s scale, per-capita income, business environment, and dollar reserve status as offsets to projected deficits near 7.4% of GDP and debt-to-GDP rising toward 123% by 2028. S&P Global Ratings similarly affirmed AA+ with a stable outlook in June 2026, pointing to resilient growth and tariff-supported revenues that stabilize fiscal balances despite structurally higher interest costs. Moody’s Aa1 rating, assigned after its 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable view. These positions reflect ongoing congressional patterns of resolving debt-ceiling deadlines without default, with the next major threshold not anticipated until mid-2027. Stable outlooks signal limited near-term risk of further cuts under current policy trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$13,253
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by major credit rating agencies underpin trader expectations against another US sovereign downgrade before 2027. Fitch maintained its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2026, citing the economy’s scale, per-capita income, business environment, and dollar reserve status as offsets to projected deficits near 7.4% of GDP and debt-to-GDP rising toward 123% by 2028. S&P Global Ratings similarly affirmed AA+ with a stable outlook in June 2026, pointing to resilient growth and tariff-supported revenues that stabilize fiscal balances despite structurally higher interest costs. Moody’s Aa1 rating, assigned after its 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable view. These positions reflect ongoing congressional patterns of resolving debt-ceiling deadlines without default, with the next major threshold not anticipated until mid-2027. Stable outlooks signal limited near-term risk of further cuts under current policy trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$13,253
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Otra degradación de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?" ha generado $13.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?" es "¿Otra degradación de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.