Saudi Aramco is targeting partial restart of roughly half the East-West pipeline’s capacity within days after drone attacks shut the line on September 10–11, with full operations eyed in about six weeks via a bypass around damaged pumping stations. The 1,200-km conduit, upgraded to 7 million barrels per day capacity, has been critical for routing crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea and avoiding the contested Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions. Recent supply disruptions contributed to Brent crude trading near $106 per barrel after a sharp pullback on restoration signals, while canceled European cargoes and inventory drawdowns at Yanbu underscore near-term export risks for Saudi revenues. Trader focus centers on whether an official announcement of resumed (even partial) flows materializes before key resolution dates, influenced by repair progress, any follow-on security incidents, and broader oil-market dynamics tied to Hormuz volumes averaging 11–18 million barrels daily.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$365,362 Vol.
22 sep 2026
22 de septiembre
37%
30 de septiembre
66%
31 de octubre
87%
$365,362 Vol.
22 de septiembre
$12,512 Vol.
37%
30 de septiembre
$238,480 Vol.
66%
31 de octubre
$8,852 Vol.
87%
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Aramco is targeting partial restart of roughly half the East-West pipeline’s capacity within days after drone attacks shut the line on September 10–11, with full operations eyed in about six weeks via a bypass around damaged pumping stations. The 1,200-km conduit, upgraded to 7 million barrels per day capacity, has been critical for routing crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea and avoiding the contested Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions. Recent supply disruptions contributed to Brent crude trading near $106 per barrel after a sharp pullback on restoration signals, while canceled European cargoes and inventory drawdowns at Yanbu underscore near-term export risks for Saudi revenues. Trader focus centers on whether an official announcement of resumed (even partial) flows materializes before key resolution dates, influenced by repair progress, any follow-on security incidents, and broader oil-market dynamics tied to Hormuz volumes averaging 11–18 million barrels daily.
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
Volumen
$365,362Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Aramco is targeting partial restart of roughly half the East-West pipeline’s capacity within days after drone attacks shut the line on September 10–11, with full operations eyed in about six weeks via a bypass around damaged pumping stations. The 1,200-km conduit, upgraded to 7 million barrels per day capacity, has been critical for routing crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea and avoiding the contested Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions. Recent supply disruptions contributed to Brent crude trading near $106 per barrel after a sharp pullback on restoration signals, while canceled European cargoes and inventory drawdowns at Yanbu underscore near-term export risks for Saudi revenues. Trader focus centers on whether an official announcement of resumed (even partial) flows materializes before key resolution dates, influenced by repair progress, any follow-on security incidents, and broader oil-market dynamics tied to Hormuz volumes averaging 11–18 million barrels daily.
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Volumen
$365,362Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Saudi Aramco is targeting partial restart of roughly half the East-West pipeline’s capacity within days after drone attacks shut the line on September 10–11, with full operations eyed in about six weeks via a bypass around damaged pumping stations. The 1,200-km conduit, upgraded to 7 million barrels per day capacity, has been critical for routing crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea and avoiding the contested Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions. Recent supply disruptions contributed to Brent crude trading near $106 per barrel after a sharp pullback on restoration signals, while canceled European cargoes and inventory drawdowns at Yanbu underscore near-term export risks for Saudi revenues. Trader focus centers on whether an official announcement of resumed (even partial) flows materializes before key resolution dates, influenced by repair progress, any follow-on security incidents, and broader oil-market dynamics tied to Hormuz volumes averaging 11–18 million barrels daily.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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