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icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?

<5 93.3%

5-9 2.3%

40-44 1.0%

60+ 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 93.3%

5-9 2.3%

40-44 1.0%

60+ 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$2,099 Vol.

93%

5-9

$1,907 Vol.

2%

10-14

$803 Vol.

<1%

15-19

$659 Vol.

1%

20-24

$698 Vol.

1%

25-29

$608 Vol.

1%

30-34

$608 Vol.

1%

35-39

$339 Vol.

1%

40-44

$350 Vol.

1%

45-49

$365 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$369 Vol.

1%

55-59

$384 Vol.

<1%

60+

$369 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X accounts, now managed posthumously following his death in U.S.-Israeli strikes earlier in 2026, have maintained a pattern of infrequent posting limited largely to archival statements, Quranic references, and occasional messages from the office. His successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, communicates primarily through written statements or Telegram rather than frequent social media activity, with no public appearances or verified new posts in recent weeks amid ongoing regional tensions. This established low volume underpins the strong trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the September 15-22 window. A major escalation involving direct Iranian responses, high-profile diplomatic announcements, or a shift in how the leadership office uses the platform could increase output, though such shifts remain uncommon based on recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$9,559
Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X accounts, now managed posthumously following his death in U.S.-Israeli strikes earlier in 2026, have maintained a pattern of infrequent posting limited largely to archival statements, Quranic references, and occasional messages from the office. His successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, communicates primarily through written statements or Telegram rather than frequent social media activity, with no public appearances or verified new posts in recent weeks amid ongoing regional tensions. This established low volume underpins the strong trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the September 15-22 window. A major escalation involving direct Iranian responses, high-profile diplomatic announcements, or a shift in how the leadership office uses the platform could increase output, though such shifts remain uncommon based on recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$9,559
Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 93%, seguido de "5-9" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 12, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?" es "<5" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5-9" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.