**Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a deliberately low public profile as Supreme Leader, relying on infrequent written messages and official channels rather than regular social media activity.** Following the US-Israeli strikes that killed his father and left him injured earlier in 2026, he has avoided public appearances and limited communications to occasional statements, such as the late-August message on Islamic Unity Week published via Telegram. Iranian President Pezeshkian’s recent confirmations that Khamenei remains in charge and in good health underscore continuity in governance without increased visibility. This pattern, combined with security-driven secrecy during ongoing regional tensions, has produced trader consensus favoring under five posts in the September 11–18 window. Scenarios that could alter this include an unexpected major address, escalation requiring a direct statement, or a shift in security conditions prompting more frequent updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de septiembre de 2026?
¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de septiembre de 2026?
<5 97.2%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
45-49 <1%
$18,210 Vol.
$18,210 Vol.
18 sep 2026
<5
97%
5-9
1%
10-14
<1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 97.2%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
45-49 <1%
$18,210 Vol.
$18,210 Vol.
18 sep 2026
<5
$5,518 Vol.
97%
5-9
$2,257 Vol.
1%
10-14
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
15-19
$1,312 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$1,447 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$1,497 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$720 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$509 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$580 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$469 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$518 Vol.
<1%
60+
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a deliberately low public profile as Supreme Leader, relying on infrequent written messages and official channels rather than regular social media activity.** Following the US-Israeli strikes that killed his father and left him injured earlier in 2026, he has avoided public appearances and limited communications to occasional statements, such as the late-August message on Islamic Unity Week published via Telegram. Iranian President Pezeshkian’s recent confirmations that Khamenei remains in charge and in good health underscore continuity in governance without increased visibility. This pattern, combined with security-driven secrecy during ongoing regional tensions, has produced trader consensus favoring under five posts in the September 11–18 window. Scenarios that could alter this include an unexpected major address, escalation requiring a direct statement, or a shift in security conditions prompting more frequent updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$18,210Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a deliberately low public profile as Supreme Leader, relying on infrequent written messages and official channels rather than regular social media activity.** Following the US-Israeli strikes that killed his father and left him injured earlier in 2026, he has avoided public appearances and limited communications to occasional statements, such as the late-August message on Islamic Unity Week published via Telegram. Iranian President Pezeshkian’s recent confirmations that Khamenei remains in charge and in good health underscore continuity in governance without increased visibility. This pattern, combined with security-driven secrecy during ongoing regional tensions, has produced trader consensus favoring under five posts in the September 11–18 window. Scenarios that could alter this include an unexpected major address, escalation requiring a direct statement, or a shift in security conditions prompting more frequent updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$18,210Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a deliberately low public profile as Supreme Leader, relying on infrequent written messages and official channels rather than regular social media activity.** Following the US-Israeli strikes that killed his father and left him injured earlier in 2026, he has avoided public appearances and limited communications to occasional statements, such as the late-August message on Islamic Unity Week published via Telegram. Iranian President Pezeshkian’s recent confirmations that Khamenei remains in charge and in good health underscore continuity in governance without increased visibility. This pattern, combined with security-driven secrecy during ongoing regional tensions, has produced trader consensus favoring under five posts in the September 11–18 window. Scenarios that could alter this include an unexpected major address, escalation requiring a direct statement, or a shift in security conditions prompting more frequent updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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