Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

<5 93%

5-9 3.8%

10-14 2.0%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 93%

5-9 3.8%

10-14 2.0%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$675 Vol.

93%

5-9

$5 Vol.

4%

10-14

$55 Vol.

2%

15-19

$55 Vol.

2%

20-24

$55 Vol.

2%

25-29

$55 Vol.

2%

30-34

$55 Vol.

2%

35-39

$55 Vol.

2%

40-44

$88 Vol.

1%

45-49

$5 Vol.

1%

50-54

$12 Vol.

1%

55-59

$12 Vol.

1%

Más de 60

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low public profile with infrequent direct X activity, relying instead on occasional written statements issued through official channels.** Following the 2026 conflict and his father's death, he has avoided public appearances for security reasons while continuing to exercise authority, as confirmed in recent statements by Iranian officials. This pattern of limited personal posting, amid ongoing regional tensions and a preference for formal messaging over frequent social media updates, underpins the strong trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the specified week. Historical activity shows sporadic releases tied to specific events rather than routine engagement. A major diplomatic development, escalation requiring rapid official responses, or verified health-related announcements could increase output and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are currently evident in the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,132
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low public profile with infrequent direct X activity, relying instead on occasional written statements issued through official channels.** Following the 2026 conflict and his father's death, he has avoided public appearances for security reasons while continuing to exercise authority, as confirmed in recent statements by Iranian officials. This pattern of limited personal posting, amid ongoing regional tensions and a preference for formal messaging over frequent social media updates, underpins the strong trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the specified week. Historical activity shows sporadic releases tied to specific events rather than routine engagement. A major diplomatic development, escalation requiring rapid official responses, or verified health-related announcements could increase output and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are currently evident in the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,132
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 93%, seguido de "5-9" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 15, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" es "<5" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5-9" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.