Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI in the 2.5–2.7% range, aligning closely with economist surveys like the central bank's REM projecting around 2.5–2.6% amid ongoing disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March's 3.4% MoM print— the highest since early 2026—lifted annual inflation to 32.6% YoY, driven by regulated price adjustments and food costs, yet traders bet on April moderation as private gauges (e.g., Libertad y Progreso at 2.4%) signal cooling. Secondary outcomes at 11.5% each for 2.2–2.4% and 2.8–3.0% reflect tight uncertainty bands. INDEC's official release, due May 14, remains the key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2.5–2.7% 84%
2.2–2.4% 18%
2.8–3.0% 15%
3.1–3.3% 2.0%
$12,835 Vol.
$12,835 Vol.
14 may 2026
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
15%
2.5–2.7%
76%
2.8–3.0%
15%
3.1–3.3%
2%
3.4–3.6%
<1%
3.7–3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
2.5–2.7% 84%
2.2–2.4% 18%
2.8–3.0% 15%
3.1–3.3% 2.0%
$12,835 Vol.
$12,835 Vol.
14 may 2026
≤2.1%
$1,641 Vol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$1,509 Vol.
15%
2.5–2.7%
$1,173 Vol.
76%
2.8–3.0%
$2,423 Vol.
15%
3.1–3.3%
$1,993 Vol.
2%
3.4–3.6%
$1,318 Vol.
<1%
3.7–3.9%
$1,785 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$993 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI in the 2.5–2.7% range, aligning closely with economist surveys like the central bank's REM projecting around 2.5–2.6% amid ongoing disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March's 3.4% MoM print— the highest since early 2026—lifted annual inflation to 32.6% YoY, driven by regulated price adjustments and food costs, yet traders bet on April moderation as private gauges (e.g., Libertad y Progreso at 2.4%) signal cooling. Secondary outcomes at 11.5% each for 2.2–2.4% and 2.8–3.0% reflect tight uncertainty bands. INDEC's official release, due May 14, remains the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$12,835Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI in the 2.5–2.7% range, aligning closely with economist surveys like the central bank's REM projecting around 2.5–2.6% amid ongoing disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March's 3.4% MoM print— the highest since early 2026—lifted annual inflation to 32.6% YoY, driven by regulated price adjustments and food costs, yet traders bet on April moderation as private gauges (e.g., Libertad y Progreso at 2.4%) signal cooling. Secondary outcomes at 11.5% each for 2.2–2.4% and 2.8–3.0% reflect tight uncertainty bands. INDEC's official release, due May 14, remains the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$12,835Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI in the 2.5–2.7% range, aligning closely with economist surveys like the central bank's REM projecting around 2.5–2.6% amid ongoing disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March's 3.4% MoM print— the highest since early 2026—lifted annual inflation to 32.6% YoY, driven by regulated price adjustments and food costs, yet traders bet on April moderation as private gauges (e.g., Libertad y Progreso at 2.4%) signal cooling. Secondary outcomes at 11.5% each for 2.2–2.4% and 2.8–3.0% reflect tight uncertainty bands. INDEC's official release, due May 14, remains the key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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