California's 14th congressional district remains strongly Democratic-leaning, with voter registration and historical results favoring the party by wide margins. The June 2026 special primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the August 18 special general election after no Republican cleared the top-two threshold. This outcome, following the prior incumbent's resignation, has locked in trader consensus on a Democratic winner at 95.5 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a low-turnout contest or major last-minute disqualifications, both considered remote given current ballot access and district demographics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-14 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-14 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$35,737 Vol.
$35,737 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
2%
$35,737 Vol.
$35,737 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,981 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$21,756 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district remains strongly Democratic-leaning, with voter registration and historical results favoring the party by wide margins. The June 2026 special primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the August 18 special general election after no Republican cleared the top-two threshold. This outcome, following the prior incumbent's resignation, has locked in trader consensus on a Democratic winner at 95.5 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a low-turnout contest or major last-minute disqualifications, both considered remote given current ballot access and district demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$35,737Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district remains strongly Democratic-leaning, with voter registration and historical results favoring the party by wide margins. The June 2026 special primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the August 18 special general election after no Republican cleared the top-two threshold. This outcome, following the prior incumbent's resignation, has locked in trader consensus on a Democratic winner at 95.5 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a low-turnout contest or major last-minute disqualifications, both considered remote given current ballot access and district demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,737Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district remains strongly Democratic-leaning, with voter registration and historical results favoring the party by wide margins. The June 2026 special primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the August 18 special general election after no Republican cleared the top-two threshold. This outcome, following the prior incumbent's resignation, has locked in trader consensus on a Democratic winner at 95.5 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a low-turnout contest or major last-minute disqualifications, both considered remote given current ballot access and district demographics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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