Vermont's at-large House seat features a dominant Democratic advantage driven by the state's long-term partisan lean, with the district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Becca Balint secured her party's nomination with 98% in the August 11 primary and holds double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, supported by consistent voter patterns and a district PVI exceeding D+15. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tide that overcomes local fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de VT-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de VT-AL
$34,989 Vol.
$34,989 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$34,989 Vol.
$34,989 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,650 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$26,340 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat features a dominant Democratic advantage driven by the state's long-term partisan lean, with the district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Becca Balint secured her party's nomination with 98% in the August 11 primary and holds double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, supported by consistent voter patterns and a district PVI exceeding D+15. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tide that overcomes local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$34,989Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat features a dominant Democratic advantage driven by the state's long-term partisan lean, with the district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Becca Balint secured her party's nomination with 98% in the August 11 primary and holds double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, supported by consistent voter patterns and a district PVI exceeding D+15. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tide that overcomes local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,989Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont's at-large House seat features a dominant Democratic advantage driven by the state's long-term partisan lean, with the district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Becca Balint secured her party's nomination with 98% in the August 11 primary and holds double-digit leads in recent polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, supported by consistent voter patterns and a district PVI exceeding D+15. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tide that overcomes local fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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