The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Scott Peters' established fundraising and voter base, underpins the 92.5% market price for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Peters faces limited primary opposition on June 2 ahead of the top-two format, while the sole Republican entrant trails significantly in early positioning. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further tilted the seat toward Democratic registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented surge in turnout or a major scandal affecting the incumbent, both viewed as low-probability events by traders tracking polling trends and campaign filings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-50 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-50 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,807 Vol.
$32,807 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
8%
$32,807 Vol.
$32,807 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$17,619 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$15,188 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Scott Peters' established fundraising and voter base, underpins the 92.5% market price for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Peters faces limited primary opposition on June 2 ahead of the top-two format, while the sole Republican entrant trails significantly in early positioning. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further tilted the seat toward Democratic registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented surge in turnout or a major scandal affecting the incumbent, both viewed as low-probability events by traders tracking polling trends and campaign filings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$32,807Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Scott Peters' established fundraising and voter base, underpins the 92.5% market price for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Peters faces limited primary opposition on June 2 ahead of the top-two format, while the sole Republican entrant trails significantly in early positioning. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further tilted the seat toward Democratic registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented surge in turnout or a major scandal affecting the incumbent, both viewed as low-probability events by traders tracking polling trends and campaign filings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,807Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Scott Peters' established fundraising and voter base, underpins the 92.5% market price for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Peters faces limited primary opposition on June 2 ahead of the top-two format, while the sole Republican entrant trails significantly in early positioning. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further tilted the seat toward Democratic registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented surge in turnout or a major scandal affecting the incumbent, both viewed as low-probability events by traders tracking polling trends and campaign filings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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