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icon for ¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?

¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?

icon for ¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?

¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?

$1,312,619 Vol.

31 ene 2026
Polymarket

$1,312,619 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre

$266,017 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and a key United Socialist Party figure, remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 3, 2026, U.S. capture on federal narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and corruption charges. The most recent development occurred May 4, when U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein in New York's Southern District scheduled their next pretrial hearing for June 30, after defense lawyers withdrew motions to dismiss—facilitated by U.S. approval for Venezuelan funds to cover legal fees—and consented to Speedy Trial Act exclusions. No bail has been granted amid contested claims of kidnapping and head-of-state immunity versus DOJ assertions of non-recognition. Traders eye the June hearing for potential bail rulings, evidentiary motions, or diplomatic interventions as pivotal to release outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,312,619
Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and a key United Socialist Party figure, remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 3, 2026, U.S. capture on federal narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and corruption charges. The most recent development occurred May 4, when U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein in New York's Southern District scheduled their next pretrial hearing for June 30, after defense lawyers withdrew motions to dismiss—facilitated by U.S. approval for Venezuelan funds to cover legal fees—and consented to Speedy Trial Act exclusions. No bail has been granted amid contested claims of kidnapping and head-of-state immunity versus DOJ assertions of non-recognition. Traders eye the June hearing for potential bail rulings, evidentiary motions, or diplomatic interventions as pivotal to release outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,312,619
Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 26%, seguido de "9 de enero" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 26¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?" ha generado $1.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 26%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "9 de enero" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.