Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the clearest lead in trader consensus at 61.5% for the June 2027 Colima gubernatorial election, reflecting her position as the frontrunner in the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition’s internal selection process. As municipal president of Manzanillo, she secured a temporary leave in June 2026 to pursue the state nomination, and recent internal polling shows her ahead within the alliance. Opposition figures such as Sofía Peralta Ferro, Gabriela Benavides Cobos, and Joel Padilla Peña trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with Morena’s current state-level advantage. The race remains early, with candidate registration and coalition negotiations still ahead, leaving room for shifts from polling trends or primary outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 62%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves 8%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez 8%
Mario Delgado Carrillo 8%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
62%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
8%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
8%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
8%

Margarita Moreno González
7%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
7%

José Israel González
5%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
5%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
5%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
5%

César Yáñez Centeno
5%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
5%

José Manuel Romero Coello
4%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
4%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
3%

María Cristina Lupien
8%

Esther Gutiérrez
7%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
8%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 62%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves 8%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez 8%
Mario Delgado Carrillo 8%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
62%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
8%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
8%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
8%

Margarita Moreno González
7%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
7%

José Israel González
5%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
5%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
5%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
5%

César Yáñez Centeno
5%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
5%

José Manuel Romero Coello
4%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
4%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
3%

María Cristina Lupien
8%

Esther Gutiérrez
7%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
8%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the clearest lead in trader consensus at 61.5% for the June 2027 Colima gubernatorial election, reflecting her position as the frontrunner in the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition’s internal selection process. As municipal president of Manzanillo, she secured a temporary leave in June 2026 to pursue the state nomination, and recent internal polling shows her ahead within the alliance. Opposition figures such as Sofía Peralta Ferro, Gabriela Benavides Cobos, and Joel Padilla Peña trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with Morena’s current state-level advantage. The race remains early, with candidate registration and coalition negotiations still ahead, leaving room for shifts from polling trends or primary outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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