Redistricting signed into law by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the 9th district's partisan balance, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ to rate the seat Likely Republican or Lean Republican for the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, yet must now defend a map that reduced his previous margins. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 18 primary for the nomination against him. The resulting trader consensus assigns Republicans a 76% implied probability, consistent with the district's altered electorate and historical incumbent performance under similar conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$17,521 Vol.
$17,521 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
76%
Partido Demócrata
24%
$17,521 Vol.
$17,521 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,324 Vol.
76%
Partido Demócrata
$7,197 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting signed into law by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the 9th district's partisan balance, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ to rate the seat Likely Republican or Lean Republican for the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, yet must now defend a map that reduced his previous margins. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 18 primary for the nomination against him. The resulting trader consensus assigns Republicans a 76% implied probability, consistent with the district's altered electorate and historical incumbent performance under similar conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$17,521Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting signed into law by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the 9th district's partisan balance, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ to rate the seat Likely Republican or Lean Republican for the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, yet must now defend a map that reduced his previous margins. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 18 primary for the nomination against him. The resulting trader consensus assigns Republicans a 76% implied probability, consistent with the district's altered electorate and historical incumbent performance under similar conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,521Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting signed into law by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the 9th district's partisan balance, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ to rate the seat Likely Republican or Lean Republican for the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, yet must now defend a map that reduced his previous margins. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 18 primary for the nomination against him. The resulting trader consensus assigns Republicans a 76% implied probability, consistent with the district's altered electorate and historical incumbent performance under similar conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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