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icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Eric Girard

Eric Girard

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Marie-Claude Sarrazin

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Julie Tourangeau

Julie Tourangeau

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

$25 Vol.

23%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$25
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$25
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eric Girard" con 45%, seguido de "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec" es "Eric Girard" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Groulx Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.