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Política·Elecciones Globales

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Política·Elecciones Globales

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 46%

Alexandre Leduc 43%

Elena Penta 37%

Béatrice Hodonou 27%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 46%

Alexandre Leduc 43%

Elena Penta 37%

Béatrice Hodonou 27%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Maude Brossard-Sabourin

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Alexandre Leduc

Alexandre Leduc

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Elena Penta

Elena Penta

$21 Vol.

37%

icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$0 Vol.

27%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a tight contest between incumbent Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin, with projections showing QS holding a narrow edge on the new electoral map. The race remains closely matched due to the district's progressive Montreal voter base, where QS captured over 50% in 2022 but PQ has narrowed the gap amid province-wide competition for left-leaning support ahead of the October 5 election. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop by Premier Christine Fréchette, confirmed candidacies for the main parties, and the September 17 nomination deadline, which limit late entrants. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout among key blocs and any late campaign momentum shifts that could favor one contender over the other in this QS-leaning seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$21
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a tight contest between incumbent Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin, with projections showing QS holding a narrow edge on the new electoral map. The race remains closely matched due to the district's progressive Montreal voter base, where QS captured over 50% in 2022 but PQ has narrowed the gap amid province-wide competition for left-leaning support ahead of the October 5 election. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop by Premier Christine Fréchette, confirmed candidacies for the main parties, and the September 17 nomination deadline, which limit late entrants. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout among key blocs and any late campaign momentum shifts that could favor one contender over the other in this QS-leaning seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$21
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" con 46%, seguido de "Alexandre Leduc" con 43%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandre Leduc" con 43%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.