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icon for Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Accesorios Para Elecciones Internacionales

Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

icon for Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Accesorios Para Elecciones Internacionales

Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

Gertrude Bourdon 47%

Claude Villeneuve 45%

Sol Zanetti 44%

Nathalie St-Pierre 27%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Gertrude Bourdon 47%

Claude Villeneuve 45%

Sol Zanetti 44%

Nathalie St-Pierre 27%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$0 Vol.

27%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest among Québec solidaire incumbent Sol Zanetti, PQ challenger Claude Villeneuve, and candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives, with recent projections showing QS and PQ vote shares separated by single digits and win probabilities clustered near 50-63%. The dynamics stem from vote fragmentation among sovereignist-leaning voters in this urban Capitale-Nationale district, combined with the province-wide PQ-CAQ deadlock following the August 27 writ and Villeneuve's late-August nomination as a high-profile former municipal leader. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti and broader polling trends on sovereignty and economic issues sustain the balance. Separation could emerge from targeted campaign events, riding-specific turnout among francophone voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum before the October 5 vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest among Québec solidaire incumbent Sol Zanetti, PQ challenger Claude Villeneuve, and candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives, with recent projections showing QS and PQ vote shares separated by single digits and win probabilities clustered near 50-63%. The dynamics stem from vote fragmentation among sovereignist-leaning voters in this urban Capitale-Nationale district, combined with the province-wide PQ-CAQ deadlock following the August 27 writ and Villeneuve's late-August nomination as a high-profile former municipal leader. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti and broader polling trends on sovereignty and economic issues sustain the balance. Separation could emerge from targeted campaign events, riding-specific turnout among francophone voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum before the October 5 vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gertrude Bourdon" con 47%, seguido de "Claude Villeneuve" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es "Gertrude Bourdon" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Claude Villeneuve" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Jean-Lesage Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.