Skip to main content
icon for Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

icon for Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 45%

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Derek Lefebvre 26%

Randy Legault-Rankin 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 45%

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Derek Lefebvre 26%

Randy Legault-Rankin 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$24 Vol.

26%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$23 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Laurier-Dorion riding in the October 5 Quebec National Assembly election features a closely contested race, with market prices clustered near 50% for numerous candidates and Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty. As the incumbent in a Montreal district with strong historical QS support, Fontecilla benefits from established voter bases, while Liberal Randy Legault-Rankin, PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, CAQ's Emil Parfyonov, and others draw from shifting provincial trends following the August 27 writ drop and seat redistribution. Limited riding-specific polling, early campaign dynamics, and competition for progressive and federalist votes sustain the tight positioning. Further separation could emerge from targeted local outreach, leader appearances, or turnout patterns among key Montreal demographics before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$47
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Laurier-Dorion riding in the October 5 Quebec National Assembly election features a closely contested race, with market prices clustered near 50% for numerous candidates and Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty. As the incumbent in a Montreal district with strong historical QS support, Fontecilla benefits from established voter bases, while Liberal Randy Legault-Rankin, PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, CAQ's Emil Parfyonov, and others draw from shifting provincial trends following the August 27 writ drop and seat redistribution. Limited riding-specific polling, early campaign dynamics, and competition for progressive and federalist votes sustain the tight positioning. Further separation could emerge from targeted local outreach, leader appearances, or turnout patterns among key Montreal demographics before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$47
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Relacionado

icon for Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

43%
icon for ¿Ganará Claude Villeneuve la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec por Jean-Lesage?

¿Ganará Claude Villeneuve la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec por Jean-Lesage?

45%
Sí
icon for Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?

47%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kelly Lazo de la Vega" con 45%, seguido de "Andrés Fontecilla" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es "Kelly Lazo de la Vega" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Andrés Fontecilla" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.