Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 15 centers on a high near the long-term normal of 83°F, with ensemble outputs clustering in the low-to-mid 80s amid modest southerly flow and limited mixing. This supports the tight market split between the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins as primary outcomes. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and potential afternoon lake breeze introduce localized cooling that caps upside risk, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger warm advection could push readings into the mid-80s. Traders weigh recent cooler-than-average conditions and forecast spread against climatological baselines when pricing the narrow probability margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 15 de agosto?
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
75°F o menos
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
75°F o menos
$627 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$622 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$782 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$954 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$410 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$719 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$627 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$456 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$158 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$353 Vol.
<1%
94°F o más
$159 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 15 centers on a high near the long-term normal of 83°F, with ensemble outputs clustering in the low-to-mid 80s amid modest southerly flow and limited mixing. This supports the tight market split between the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins as primary outcomes. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and potential afternoon lake breeze introduce localized cooling that caps upside risk, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger warm advection could push readings into the mid-80s. Traders weigh recent cooler-than-average conditions and forecast spread against climatological baselines when pricing the narrow probability margins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$5,860Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 15 centers on a high near the long-term normal of 83°F, with ensemble outputs clustering in the low-to-mid 80s amid modest southerly flow and limited mixing. This supports the tight market split between the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins as primary outcomes. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and potential afternoon lake breeze introduce localized cooling that caps upside risk, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger warm advection could push readings into the mid-80s. Traders weigh recent cooler-than-average conditions and forecast spread against climatological baselines when pricing the narrow probability margins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,860Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 15 centers on a high near the long-term normal of 83°F, with ensemble outputs clustering in the low-to-mid 80s amid modest southerly flow and limited mixing. This supports the tight market split between the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins as primary outcomes. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and potential afternoon lake breeze introduce localized cooling that caps upside risk, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger warm advection could push readings into the mid-80s. Traders weigh recent cooler-than-average conditions and forecast spread against climatological baselines when pricing the narrow probability margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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