Recent NWS and private model runs for Dallas point to a sunny, hot pattern under high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daily maximums near 100–102°F and driving the tight 45%–38.5% market split between the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins. Afternoon mixing, minor cloud development, and slight differences in peak heating timing create the main uncertainty separating those outcomes, consistent with mid-August climatology where highs average near 100°F but can vary several degrees based on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Traders are weighting the latest guidance updates closely, as any shift in afternoon convective timing or model consensus could quickly move probabilities before resolution on August 15.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 15 de agosto?
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 11%
104-105°F 3%
NUEVO
$13,976 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,976 Vol.
15 ago 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 11%
104-105°F 3%
NUEVO
$13,976 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,976 Vol.
15 ago 2026
93°F or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$933 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$476 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$1,655 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$8,066 Vol.
52%
102-103°F
$537 Vol.
11%
104-105°F
$488 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$303 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$458 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$275 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and private model runs for Dallas point to a sunny, hot pattern under high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daily maximums near 100–102°F and driving the tight 45%–38.5% market split between the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins. Afternoon mixing, minor cloud development, and slight differences in peak heating timing create the main uncertainty separating those outcomes, consistent with mid-August climatology where highs average near 100°F but can vary several degrees based on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Traders are weighting the latest guidance updates closely, as any shift in afternoon convective timing or model consensus could quickly move probabilities before resolution on August 15.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$13,976Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and private model runs for Dallas point to a sunny, hot pattern under high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daily maximums near 100–102°F and driving the tight 45%–38.5% market split between the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins. Afternoon mixing, minor cloud development, and slight differences in peak heating timing create the main uncertainty separating those outcomes, consistent with mid-August climatology where highs average near 100°F but can vary several degrees based on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Traders are weighting the latest guidance updates closely, as any shift in afternoon convective timing or model consensus could quickly move probabilities before resolution on August 15.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,976Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and private model runs for Dallas point to a sunny, hot pattern under high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daily maximums near 100–102°F and driving the tight 45%–38.5% market split between the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins. Afternoon mixing, minor cloud development, and slight differences in peak heating timing create the main uncertainty separating those outcomes, consistent with mid-August climatology where highs average near 100°F but can vary several degrees based on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Traders are weighting the latest guidance updates closely, as any shift in afternoon convective timing or model consensus could quickly move probabilities before resolution on August 15.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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