Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 4 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 4 de agosto?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F o menos <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 Vol.
$31,778 Vol.
4 ago 2026
87°F o menos
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Sí
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F o más
No
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F o menos <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 Vol.
$31,778 Vol.
4 ago 2026
87°F o menos
$383 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$697 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$1,776 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,595 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$10,981 Vol.
Sí
96-97°F
$7,832 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$3,959 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,181 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,283 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$498 Vol.
No
106°F o más
$592 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$31,778Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,778Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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