Recent atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast runs from Indonesia’s Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) have placed the 33–34 °C range at the center of trader focus for Jakarta’s May 18 maximum. Mid-May climatology under ENSO-neutral conditions favors daily highs near the historical median of 33–35 °C at Halim Perdanakusuma station, with traders weighing small differences in peak solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat-island effect. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet single-degree resolution hinges on afternoon cloud development and local wind patterns, both of which remain within typical seasonal envelopes. The market’s near-even split between the top two outcomes reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the official 24-hour maximum observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Yakarta el 18 de mayo?
33°C 42%
34°C 37%
32°C 15%
35°C 8%
$15,342 Vol.
$15,342 Vol.
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
15%
33°C
42%
34°C
37%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C o más
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 37%
32°C 15%
35°C 8%
$15,342 Vol.
$15,342 Vol.
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
15%
33°C
42%
34°C
37%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast runs from Indonesia’s Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) have placed the 33–34 °C range at the center of trader focus for Jakarta’s May 18 maximum. Mid-May climatology under ENSO-neutral conditions favors daily highs near the historical median of 33–35 °C at Halim Perdanakusuma station, with traders weighing small differences in peak solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat-island effect. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet single-degree resolution hinges on afternoon cloud development and local wind patterns, both of which remain within typical seasonal envelopes. The market’s near-even split between the top two outcomes reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the official 24-hour maximum observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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