Current forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a warm air mass over the eastern Mediterranean will push maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv to 33–35°C on May 17, with some runs showing brief peaks near or above 35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This exceeds the May climatological average high of roughly 28°C, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover that limit overnight cooling. Trader consensus reflects these model outputs, with the 35°C-or-higher bin holding the clearest majority while the narrow 34°C outcome captures residual uncertainty in peak timing and local urban heat effects. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the standard Tel Aviv station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 17 de mayo?
35°C or higher 66%
34°C 31%
33°C 1.6%
32°C <1%
$22,046 Vol.
$22,046 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
66%
35°C or higher 66%
34°C 31%
33°C 1.6%
32°C <1%
$22,046 Vol.
$22,046 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a warm air mass over the eastern Mediterranean will push maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv to 33–35°C on May 17, with some runs showing brief peaks near or above 35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This exceeds the May climatological average high of roughly 28°C, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover that limit overnight cooling. Trader consensus reflects these model outputs, with the 35°C-or-higher bin holding the clearest majority while the narrow 34°C outcome captures residual uncertainty in peak timing and local urban heat effects. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the standard Tel Aviv station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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