Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international models project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 16 at 24-25°C, driving trader consensus with 49.5% implied probability for 25°C and 37.5% for 24°C amid a cooling trend. Following highs near 30°C earlier this week, a shift to westerly winds and increased cloud cover from a deepening low-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean has lowered expectations, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 25°C where daily highs typically range 24-27°C. Light sprinkles possible early may cap peaks via evaporative cooling and sea breeze enhancement. IMS evening update and ECMWF model runs tonight could refine this narrow range, as inherent short-term forecast uncertainty persists in coastal microclimates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
25°C 50%
24°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.3%
$11,751 Vol.
$11,751 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
38%
25°C
50%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 50%
24°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.3%
$11,751 Vol.
$11,751 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
38%
25°C
50%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international models project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 16 at 24-25°C, driving trader consensus with 49.5% implied probability for 25°C and 37.5% for 24°C amid a cooling trend. Following highs near 30°C earlier this week, a shift to westerly winds and increased cloud cover from a deepening low-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean has lowered expectations, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 25°C where daily highs typically range 24-27°C. Light sprinkles possible early may cap peaks via evaporative cooling and sea breeze enhancement. IMS evening update and ECMWF model runs tonight could refine this narrow range, as inherent short-term forecast uncertainty persists in coastal microclimates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes