Trader sentiment for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17 shows tight clustering around 36–37°C because ensemble forecast models project daytime highs near 36.5°C under typical pre-monsoon conditions. High humidity, urban heat island effects, and peak solar insolation drive the modest edge for the 37°C-or-higher outcome at 40.5%. Differentiation among leading bins hinges on the exact timing of maximum heating versus afternoon sea-breeze onset, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, incorporating the latest surface observations, will narrow model spread and directly influence near-term probability adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 17 de mayo?
37°C o más 40%
36°C 35%
35°C 24%
34°C 7.5%
$13,402 Vol.
$13,402 Vol.
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
24%
36°C
35%
37°C o más
40%
37°C o más 40%
36°C 35%
35°C 24%
34°C 7.5%
$13,402 Vol.
$13,402 Vol.
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
24%
36°C
35%
37°C o más
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCTrader sentiment for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17 shows tight clustering around 36–37°C because ensemble forecast models project daytime highs near 36.5°C under typical pre-monsoon conditions. High humidity, urban heat island effects, and peak solar insolation drive the modest edge for the 37°C-or-higher outcome at 40.5%. Differentiation among leading bins hinges on the exact timing of maximum heating versus afternoon sea-breeze onset, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, incorporating the latest surface observations, will narrow model spread and directly influence near-term probability adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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