Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to a 33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 18, driven by India Meteorological Department forecasts of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with thunderstorm chances that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show daytime highs near 34°C amid elevated humidity and light westerly winds, consistent with September climatology where averages hover around 33°C. Model consensus and ongoing monsoon moisture favor outcomes clustered at 32–34°C, while the low odds (under 5%) for 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky intensification before resolution. Updated IMD briefings and satellite data on cloud cover remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 18 de septiembre?
33°C 46%
34°C 33%
32°C 18%
35°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
46%
34°C
33%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C o más
1%
33°C 46%
34°C 33%
32°C 18%
35°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
27°C o menos
$219 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$169 Vol.
1%
30°C
$179 Vol.
1%
31°C
$407 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,826 Vol.
18%
33°C
$945 Vol.
46%
34°C
$1,610 Vol.
33%
35°C
$456 Vol.
5%
36°C
$281 Vol.
1%
37°C o más
$345 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to a 33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 18, driven by India Meteorological Department forecasts of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with thunderstorm chances that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show daytime highs near 34°C amid elevated humidity and light westerly winds, consistent with September climatology where averages hover around 33°C. Model consensus and ongoing monsoon moisture favor outcomes clustered at 32–34°C, while the low odds (under 5%) for 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky intensification before resolution. Updated IMD briefings and satellite data on cloud cover remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$6,607Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to a 33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 18, driven by India Meteorological Department forecasts of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with thunderstorm chances that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show daytime highs near 34°C amid elevated humidity and light westerly winds, consistent with September climatology where averages hover around 33°C. Model consensus and ongoing monsoon moisture favor outcomes clustered at 32–34°C, while the low odds (under 5%) for 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky intensification before resolution. Updated IMD briefings and satellite data on cloud cover remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,607Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to a 33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 18, driven by India Meteorological Department forecasts of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with thunderstorm chances that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show daytime highs near 34°C amid elevated humidity and light westerly winds, consistent with September climatology where averages hover around 33°C. Model consensus and ongoing monsoon moisture favor outcomes clustered at 32–34°C, while the low odds (under 5%) for 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky intensification before resolution. Updated IMD briefings and satellite data on cloud cover remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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