The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 19 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 19 de septiembre?
74-75°F 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
69°F o menos <1%
70-71°F <1%
$6,276 Vol.
$6,276 Vol.
19 sep 2026
69°F o menos
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Sí
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o más
No
74-75°F 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
69°F o menos <1%
70-71°F <1%
$6,276 Vol.
$6,276 Vol.
19 sep 2026
69°F o menos
$166 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$422 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,099 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,154 Vol.
Sí
76-77°F
$1,529 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$465 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$41 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$118 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$108 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,137 Vol.
No
88°F o más
$37 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$6,276Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,276Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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