Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models indicate a June 15 high in Manila most likely between 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon’s onset, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological baselines for mid-June show typical maxima near 32°C, and current guidance consistently projects light to moderate rain chances (30–40%) that favor the market’s leading 33°C outcome while keeping 35°C+ probabilities low. Minor model spreads around steering flow and localized convection explain the tight clustering of trader-implied odds among the three central bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 15 de junio?
33°C 47%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
47%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
28°C o menos
$677 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$221 Vol.
1%
31°C
$525 Vol.
2%
32°C
$168 Vol.
24%
33°C
$194 Vol.
47%
34°C
$806 Vol.
22%
35°C
$462 Vol.
4%
36°C
$154 Vol.
1%
37°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
38°C o más
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models indicate a June 15 high in Manila most likely between 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon’s onset, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological baselines for mid-June show typical maxima near 32°C, and current guidance consistently projects light to moderate rain chances (30–40%) that favor the market’s leading 33°C outcome while keeping 35°C+ probabilities low. Minor model spreads around steering flow and localized convection explain the tight clustering of trader-implied odds among the three central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$3,545Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models indicate a June 15 high in Manila most likely between 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon’s onset, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological baselines for mid-June show typical maxima near 32°C, and current guidance consistently projects light to moderate rain chances (30–40%) that favor the market’s leading 33°C outcome while keeping 35°C+ probabilities low. Minor model spreads around steering flow and localized convection explain the tight clustering of trader-implied odds among the three central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,545Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models indicate a June 15 high in Manila most likely between 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon’s onset, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological baselines for mid-June show typical maxima near 32°C, and current guidance consistently projects light to moderate rain chances (30–40%) that favor the market’s leading 33°C outcome while keeping 35°C+ probabilities low. Minor model spreads around steering flow and localized convection explain the tight clustering of trader-implied odds among the three central bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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