**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show Manila's maximum temperature on June 14 reaching 32°C under typical early southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and scattered showers limit surface heating, keeping daytime peaks near the seasonal average of 31-33°C observed in recent years. This aligns with historical June climatology for the region, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below extreme thresholds. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects convergence across multiple weather agencies on this value as the daily high from official monitoring stations. Unusually clear skies or a temporary break in monsoon flow could allow brief excursions to 33-34°C, though current model consensus and observed conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 14?
32°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,179 Vol.
$24,179 Vol.
14 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,179 Vol.
$24,179 Vol.
14 jun 2026
27°C or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$981 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,249 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,403 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,881 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,559 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,711 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,297 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,377 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show Manila's maximum temperature on June 14 reaching 32°C under typical early southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and scattered showers limit surface heating, keeping daytime peaks near the seasonal average of 31-33°C observed in recent years. This aligns with historical June climatology for the region, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below extreme thresholds. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects convergence across multiple weather agencies on this value as the daily high from official monitoring stations. Unusually clear skies or a temporary break in monsoon flow could allow brief excursions to 33-34°C, though current model consensus and observed conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$24,179Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show Manila's maximum temperature on June 14 reaching 32°C under typical early southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and scattered showers limit surface heating, keeping daytime peaks near the seasonal average of 31-33°C observed in recent years. This aligns with historical June climatology for the region, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below extreme thresholds. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects convergence across multiple weather agencies on this value as the daily high from official monitoring stations. Unusually clear skies or a temporary break in monsoon flow could allow brief excursions to 33-34°C, though current model consensus and observed conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24,179Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show Manila's maximum temperature on June 14 reaching 32°C under typical early southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and scattered showers limit surface heating, keeping daytime peaks near the seasonal average of 31-33°C observed in recent years. This aligns with historical June climatology for the region, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below extreme thresholds. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects convergence across multiple weather agencies on this value as the daily high from official monitoring stations. Unusually clear skies or a temporary break in monsoon flow could allow brief excursions to 33-34°C, though current model consensus and observed conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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