Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and strong solar insolation typical of late-spring conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatological averages of 26–27°C highs at Benito Juárez International Airport and recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–16, supporting the market's 79.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below threshold, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor downward pressure. Final hourly observations on May 18 will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 18 de mayo?
27°C or higher 74%
26°C 15%
25°C 11%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
11%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
80%
27°C or higher 74%
26°C 15%
25°C 11%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
17°C or below
$508 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,323 Vol.
1%
19°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$70 Vol.
1%
23°C
$49 Vol.
3%
24°C
$13 Vol.
7%
25°C
$10 Vol.
11%
26°C
$2 Vol.
15%
27°C or higher
$37 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and strong solar insolation typical of late-spring conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatological averages of 26–27°C highs at Benito Juárez International Airport and recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–16, supporting the market's 79.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below threshold, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor downward pressure. Final hourly observations on May 18 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$2,595Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and strong solar insolation typical of late-spring conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatological averages of 26–27°C highs at Benito Juárez International Airport and recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–16, supporting the market's 79.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below threshold, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor downward pressure. Final hourly observations on May 18 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,595Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXCurrent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and strong solar insolation typical of late-spring conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatological averages of 26–27°C highs at Benito Juárez International Airport and recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–16, supporting the market's 79.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below threshold, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor downward pressure. Final hourly observations on May 18 will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes