Recent model consensus from ECMWF and national services shows Milan under a persistent subtropical high with warm-air advection and clear skies, favoring afternoon maxima of 35–36 °C on 15 August amid the broader 2026 European heatwave. Official guidance from Italian meteorological sources and BBC forecasts cite 35 °C with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, while urban heat-island effects could push station readings slightly higher. Trader consensus clustering at 34–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise peak timing, potential late-day stabilization, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Latest runs indicate little change expected before resolution, keeping probabilities anchored near these levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 15 de agosto?
34°C 45%
35°C 34%
33°C 11%
36°C 9%
NUEVO
$12,243 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,243 Vol.
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
45%
35°C
34%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 34%
33°C 11%
36°C 9%
NUEVO
$12,243 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,243 Vol.
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$904 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,136 Vol.
11%
34°C
$1,778 Vol.
45%
35°C
$2,369 Vol.
34%
36°C
$2,218 Vol.
9%
37°C
$928 Vol.
1%
38°C
$802 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and national services shows Milan under a persistent subtropical high with warm-air advection and clear skies, favoring afternoon maxima of 35–36 °C on 15 August amid the broader 2026 European heatwave. Official guidance from Italian meteorological sources and BBC forecasts cite 35 °C with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, while urban heat-island effects could push station readings slightly higher. Trader consensus clustering at 34–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise peak timing, potential late-day stabilization, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Latest runs indicate little change expected before resolution, keeping probabilities anchored near these levels.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$12,243Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and national services shows Milan under a persistent subtropical high with warm-air advection and clear skies, favoring afternoon maxima of 35–36 °C on 15 August amid the broader 2026 European heatwave. Official guidance from Italian meteorological sources and BBC forecasts cite 35 °C with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, while urban heat-island effects could push station readings slightly higher. Trader consensus clustering at 34–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise peak timing, potential late-day stabilization, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Latest runs indicate little change expected before resolution, keeping probabilities anchored near these levels.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,243Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and national services shows Milan under a persistent subtropical high with warm-air advection and clear skies, favoring afternoon maxima of 35–36 °C on 15 August amid the broader 2026 European heatwave. Official guidance from Italian meteorological sources and BBC forecasts cite 35 °C with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, while urban heat-island effects could push station readings slightly higher. Trader consensus clustering at 34–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise peak timing, potential late-day stabilization, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Latest runs indicate little change expected before resolution, keeping probabilities anchored near these levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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