A dry continental air mass advecting southward from northern Central America, combined with peak solar insolation near the equinox, is driving elevated daytime heating across Panama City, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability for a maximum of 33°C or higher. Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport recorded 35°C on May 13 under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus that today’s thermodynamic setup—low precipitable water and strong surface heating—will again push temperatures into the upper 30s. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 31°C, though recent model runs indicate potential for short-term exceedances of the 33°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the day’s verified peak, with any late-day convection or minor moisture influx capable of moderating the outcome toward the 22.5% chance of exactly 32°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
33°C or higher 75%
32°C 24%
31°C 5%
30°C 1.1%
$10,771 Vol.
$10,771 Vol.
16 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
75%
33°C or higher 75%
32°C 24%
31°C 5%
30°C 1.1%
$10,771 Vol.
$10,771 Vol.
16 may 2026
23°C or below
$618 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$916 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$742 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$743 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$848 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$941 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,908 Vol.
5%
32°C
$885 Vol.
24%
33°C or higher
$1,213 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A dry continental air mass advecting southward from northern Central America, combined with peak solar insolation near the equinox, is driving elevated daytime heating across Panama City, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability for a maximum of 33°C or higher. Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport recorded 35°C on May 13 under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus that today’s thermodynamic setup—low precipitable water and strong surface heating—will again push temperatures into the upper 30s. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 31°C, though recent model runs indicate potential for short-term exceedances of the 33°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the day’s verified peak, with any late-day convection or minor moisture influx capable of moderating the outcome toward the 22.5% chance of exactly 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$10,771Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A dry continental air mass advecting southward from northern Central America, combined with peak solar insolation near the equinox, is driving elevated daytime heating across Panama City, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability for a maximum of 33°C or higher. Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport recorded 35°C on May 13 under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus that today’s thermodynamic setup—low precipitable water and strong surface heating—will again push temperatures into the upper 30s. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 31°C, though recent model runs indicate potential for short-term exceedances of the 33°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the day’s verified peak, with any late-day convection or minor moisture influx capable of moderating the outcome toward the 22.5% chance of exactly 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,771Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
A dry continental air mass advecting southward from northern Central America, combined with peak solar insolation near the equinox, is driving elevated daytime heating across Panama City, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability for a maximum of 33°C or higher. Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport recorded 35°C on May 13 under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus that today’s thermodynamic setup—low precipitable water and strong surface heating—will again push temperatures into the upper 30s. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 31°C, though recent model runs indicate potential for short-term exceedances of the 33°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the day’s verified peak, with any late-day convection or minor moisture influx capable of moderating the outcome toward the 22.5% chance of exactly 32°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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