Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 5 de agosto?
36°C o más 100.0%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,448 Vol.
$33,448 Vol.
5 ago 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
100%
36°C o más 100.0%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,448 Vol.
$33,448 Vol.
5 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$353 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$788 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,373 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,936 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$9,616 Vol.
<1%
36°C o más
$10,583 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$33,448Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,448Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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