Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a stable high of 21°C in Qingdao on May 16, driven by moderate southerly flow off the cooler Yellow Sea waters and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where coastal station records typically peak between 18°C and 22°C absent strong warm advection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 21°C reflects high confidence in these short-range model runs, which show minimal spread and no signals for rapid warming. Only a sharp wind shift to northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could push readings to 22–23°C, but current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$31,196 Vol.
$31,196 Vol.
16 may 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$31,196 Vol.
$31,196 Vol.
16 may 2026
21°C
$10,201 Vol.
100%
22°C
$3,292 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,706 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,972 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,855 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$956 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a stable high of 21°C in Qingdao on May 16, driven by moderate southerly flow off the cooler Yellow Sea waters and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where coastal station records typically peak between 18°C and 22°C absent strong warm advection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 21°C reflects high confidence in these short-range model runs, which show minimal spread and no signals for rapid warming. Only a sharp wind shift to northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could push readings to 22–23°C, but current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$31,196Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a stable high of 21°C in Qingdao on May 16, driven by moderate southerly flow off the cooler Yellow Sea waters and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where coastal station records typically peak between 18°C and 22°C absent strong warm advection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 21°C reflects high confidence in these short-range model runs, which show minimal spread and no signals for rapid warming. Only a sharp wind shift to northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could push readings to 22–23°C, but current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,196Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a stable high of 21°C in Qingdao on May 16, driven by moderate southerly flow off the cooler Yellow Sea waters and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where coastal station records typically peak between 18°C and 22°C absent strong warm advection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 21°C reflects high confidence in these short-range model runs, which show minimal spread and no signals for rapid warming. Only a sharp wind shift to northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could push readings to 22–23°C, but current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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