Recent weather model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and local forecasts positions Tel Aviv for a daytime high near 32–33°C on August 27, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant synoptic systems altering the pattern. These values align closely with August climatological averages of approximately 32°C and explain the market’s concentration of implied probability on 33°C (52.5%) and 34°C (38.5%). Stable high-pressure influence and consistent model runs over recent days have limited upside potential for extremes above 35°C or downside below 31°C, though minor forecast revisions remain possible before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 27 de agosto?
33°C 54%
34°C 39%
32°C 4%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
54%
34°C
39%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
34°C 39%
32°C 4%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
54%
34°C
39%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and local forecasts positions Tel Aviv for a daytime high near 32–33°C on August 27, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant synoptic systems altering the pattern. These values align closely with August climatological averages of approximately 32°C and explain the market’s concentration of implied probability on 33°C (52.5%) and 34°C (38.5%). Stable high-pressure influence and consistent model runs over recent days have limited upside potential for extremes above 35°C or downside below 31°C, though minor forecast revisions remain possible before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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