Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,847 Vol.
$49,847 Vol.
9 jun 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,847 Vol.
$49,847 Vol.
9 jun 2026
24°C or below
$2,393 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,489 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,697 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,720 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,437 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,384 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$5,933 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,270 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,726 Vol.
No
33°C
$448 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$348 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$49,847Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$49,847Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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