President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to record lows for his second term in recent months, driven primarily by widespread public dissatisfaction with U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran and its effects on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys conducted in April and May 2026 show approval hovering between 34% and 40%, with particularly sharp declines among independents and even some erosion within Republican ranks on foreign policy and economic stewardship. As the November 2026 midterm elections approach, these trends shape trader assessments of whether ratings can rebound above current levels before year-end or remain suppressed by ongoing geopolitical and domestic economic developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
$4,837 Vol.
↑ 44%
$2,703 Vol.
10%
↑ 45%
$137 Vol.
11%
↑ 46%
$721 Vol.
14%
↑ 47%
$0 Vol.
41%
↑ 48%
$392 Vol.
5%
↑ 49%
$0 Vol.
10%
↑ 50%
$885 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to record lows for his second term in recent months, driven primarily by widespread public dissatisfaction with U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran and its effects on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys conducted in April and May 2026 show approval hovering between 34% and 40%, with particularly sharp declines among independents and even some erosion within Republican ranks on foreign policy and economic stewardship. As the November 2026 midterm elections approach, these trends shape trader assessments of whether ratings can rebound above current levels before year-end or remain suppressed by ongoing geopolitical and domestic economic developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$4,837Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to record lows for his second term in recent months, driven primarily by widespread public dissatisfaction with U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran and its effects on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys conducted in April and May 2026 show approval hovering between 34% and 40%, with particularly sharp declines among independents and even some erosion within Republican ranks on foreign policy and economic stewardship. As the November 2026 midterm elections approach, these trends shape trader assessments of whether ratings can rebound above current levels before year-end or remain suppressed by ongoing geopolitical and domestic economic developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$4,837Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to record lows for his second term in recent months, driven primarily by widespread public dissatisfaction with U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran and its effects on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys conducted in April and May 2026 show approval hovering between 34% and 40%, with particularly sharp declines among independents and even some erosion within Republican ranks on foreign policy and economic stewardship. As the November 2026 midterm elections approach, these trends shape trader assessments of whether ratings can rebound above current levels before year-end or remain suppressed by ongoing geopolitical and domestic economic developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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