Trump’s approval rating has fallen to record lows in September 2026, with a Reuters/Ipsos poll showing 32% overall and Republican support dropping to 73%, down sharply from prior weeks. The primary drivers are sustained economic pressure from the U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February, which has elevated gasoline and diesel prices, and weak public ratings on cost-of-living issues at just 17% approval. These factors have weighed on independents and eroded backing within the president’s own party ahead of the November 3 midterms. Approval started the second term near 47% on promises to curb inflation and end foreign engagements, but polling averages have remained in the mid-30s or lower through the summer amid persistent energy costs and conflict-related uncertainty. Any near-term de-escalation, fuel-price relief, or policy developments could influence whether ratings rebound before year-end or remain constrained.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
↑ 44%
7%
↑ 45%
6%
↑ 46%
7%
↑ 47%
7%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
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$8,090 Vol.
↑ 44%
7%
↑ 45%
6%
↑ 46%
7%
↑ 47%
7%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
5%
↑ 50%
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has fallen to record lows in September 2026, with a Reuters/Ipsos poll showing 32% overall and Republican support dropping to 73%, down sharply from prior weeks. The primary drivers are sustained economic pressure from the U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February, which has elevated gasoline and diesel prices, and weak public ratings on cost-of-living issues at just 17% approval. These factors have weighed on independents and eroded backing within the president’s own party ahead of the November 3 midterms. Approval started the second term near 47% on promises to curb inflation and end foreign engagements, but polling averages have remained in the mid-30s or lower through the summer amid persistent energy costs and conflict-related uncertainty. Any near-term de-escalation, fuel-price relief, or policy developments could influence whether ratings rebound before year-end or remain constrained.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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