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icon for ¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?

¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?

¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?

sep 25

sep 25

38,0–38,4 39%

38,5–38,9 30%

39,0–39,4 20%

37.5–37.9 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

38,0–38,4 39%

38,5–38,9 30%

39,0–39,4 20%

37.5–37.9 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<37.5

$15 Vol.

14%

37.5–37.9

$35 Vol.

14%

38,0–38,4

$35 Vol.

31%

38,5–38,9

$36 Vol.

30%

39,0–39,4

$284 Vol.

20%

39.5+

$15 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 38% approval rating for President Trump on September 25, with the two leading ranges capturing over 60% combined probability. This reflects steady recent polling averages amid ongoing legislative activity, economic data releases, and administration policy actions. Short-term fluctuations often stem from congressional votes, public statements by the president or key officials, and media coverage of domestic or foreign developments. With resolution only days away, any late-breaking announcements or events within the measurement window could shift final positioning. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings typically move modestly over brief periods absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$421
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 38% approval rating for President Trump on September 25, with the two leading ranges capturing over 60% combined probability. This reflects steady recent polling averages amid ongoing legislative activity, economic data releases, and administration policy actions. Short-term fluctuations often stem from congressional votes, public statements by the president or key officials, and media coverage of domestic or foreign developments. With resolution only days away, any late-breaking announcements or events within the measurement window could shift final positioning. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings typically move modestly over brief periods absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$421
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "38,0–38,4" con 31%, seguido de "38,5–38,9" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 31¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?" es "38,0–38,4" con 31%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "38,5–38,9" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 25 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.