Moderate global seismic activity during May 11–17 has driven trader consensus toward six magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes as the leading outcome. USGS monitoring recorded steady events along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones and mid-ocean ridges, including isolated M6-class quakes such as the M6.2 in Indonesia on May 14, without significant aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the weekly total. This aligns with long-term USGS averages of five to eight such events per week under normal tectonic conditions. Final catalog revisions remain possible before resolution, but current data show no major deviations from baseline rates that would favor outcomes above seven or below five.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
6 61.4%
7 21.5%
8 8.9%
9 3.6%
$137,866 Vol.
$137,866 Vol.
17 may 2026
≤3
1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
69%
7
22%
8
9%
9
4%
>9
<1%
6 61.4%
7 21.5%
8 8.9%
9 3.6%
$137,866 Vol.
$137,866 Vol.
17 may 2026
≤3
$57,893 Vol.
1%
4
$20,043 Vol.
1%
5
$20,156 Vol.
1%
6
$4,311 Vol.
69%
7
$3,071 Vol.
22%
8
$7,867 Vol.
9%
9
$6,469 Vol.
4%
>9
$18,056 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Moderate global seismic activity during May 11–17 has driven trader consensus toward six magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes as the leading outcome. USGS monitoring recorded steady events along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones and mid-ocean ridges, including isolated M6-class quakes such as the M6.2 in Indonesia on May 14, without significant aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the weekly total. This aligns with long-term USGS averages of five to eight such events per week under normal tectonic conditions. Final catalog revisions remain possible before resolution, but current data show no major deviations from baseline rates that would favor outcomes above seven or below five.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$137,866Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Moderate global seismic activity during May 11–17 has driven trader consensus toward six magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes as the leading outcome. USGS monitoring recorded steady events along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones and mid-ocean ridges, including isolated M6-class quakes such as the M6.2 in Indonesia on May 14, without significant aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the weekly total. This aligns with long-term USGS averages of five to eight such events per week under normal tectonic conditions. Final catalog revisions remain possible before resolution, but current data show no major deviations from baseline rates that would favor outcomes above seven or below five.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$137,866Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Moderate global seismic activity during May 11–17 has driven trader consensus toward six magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes as the leading outcome. USGS monitoring recorded steady events along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones and mid-ocean ridges, including isolated M6-class quakes such as the M6.2 in Indonesia on May 14, without significant aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the weekly total. This aligns with long-term USGS averages of five to eight such events per week under normal tectonic conditions. Final catalog revisions remain possible before resolution, but current data show no major deviations from baseline rates that would favor outcomes above seven or below five.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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