Global seismicity produces roughly one to two magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes per week on average, according to long-term USGS records of roughly 120–150 events in the 6.0–6.9 range annually. Trader consensus currently centers on zero to two events for the June 8–14 window, consistent with this baseline rate and the absence of unusual clustering or aftershock sequences. A magnitude 6.5 event occurred offshore the Philippines on June 8, already counting toward the total and leaving the remainder of the period subject to normal variability. USGS monitoring shows no elevated activity or specific forecast signals that would shift probabilities away from the observed distribution. Resolution hinges on final USGS catalog verification of any additional events meeting the exact magnitude and timing criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 6.5 o más del 8 al 14 de junio?
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 6.0%
$14,640 Vol.
$14,640 Vol.
0
29%
1
40%
2
32%
3
6%
4
3%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 6.0%
$14,640 Vol.
$14,640 Vol.
0
29%
1
40%
2
32%
3
6%
4
3%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismicity produces roughly one to two magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes per week on average, according to long-term USGS records of roughly 120–150 events in the 6.0–6.9 range annually. Trader consensus currently centers on zero to two events for the June 8–14 window, consistent with this baseline rate and the absence of unusual clustering or aftershock sequences. A magnitude 6.5 event occurred offshore the Philippines on June 8, already counting toward the total and leaving the remainder of the period subject to normal variability. USGS monitoring shows no elevated activity or specific forecast signals that would shift probabilities away from the observed distribution. Resolution hinges on final USGS catalog verification of any additional events meeting the exact magnitude and timing criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes