Israel's decision to keep its airspace open through mid-June 2026, despite fresh early-June strikes on Iranian targets that prompted Tehran to restrict sections of its own western airspace, anchors current trader assessments. Transportation Minister Miri Regev's June situation assessment with aviation officials concluded operations at Ben-Gurion Airport should continue as scheduled, with continuous monitoring for any expansion of missile or drone activity. Regional alerts remain elevated amid the broader Israel-Iran conflict cycle that produced prior closures in February-March 2026, yet no qualifying closure has occurred since. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming weeks could still trigger a reassessment if threats intensify.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$15,582,955 Vol.
15 jun 2026
June 14
8%
June 15
12%
30 de junio
19%
$15,582,955 Vol.
June 14
$516,235 Vol.
8%
June 15
$5,198,336 Vol.
12%
30 de junio
$2,201,765 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's decision to keep its airspace open through mid-June 2026, despite fresh early-June strikes on Iranian targets that prompted Tehran to restrict sections of its own western airspace, anchors current trader assessments. Transportation Minister Miri Regev's June situation assessment with aviation officials concluded operations at Ben-Gurion Airport should continue as scheduled, with continuous monitoring for any expansion of missile or drone activity. Regional alerts remain elevated amid the broader Israel-Iran conflict cycle that produced prior closures in February-March 2026, yet no qualifying closure has occurred since. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming weeks could still trigger a reassessment if threats intensify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 18, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volumen
$15,582,955Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's decision to keep its airspace open through mid-June 2026, despite fresh early-June strikes on Iranian targets that prompted Tehran to restrict sections of its own western airspace, anchors current trader assessments. Transportation Minister Miri Regev's June situation assessment with aviation officials concluded operations at Ben-Gurion Airport should continue as scheduled, with continuous monitoring for any expansion of missile or drone activity. Regional alerts remain elevated amid the broader Israel-Iran conflict cycle that produced prior closures in February-March 2026, yet no qualifying closure has occurred since. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming weeks could still trigger a reassessment if threats intensify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$15,582,955Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's decision to keep its airspace open through mid-June 2026, despite fresh early-June strikes on Iranian targets that prompted Tehran to restrict sections of its own western airspace, anchors current trader assessments. Transportation Minister Miri Regev's June situation assessment with aviation officials concluded operations at Ben-Gurion Airport should continue as scheduled, with continuous monitoring for any expansion of missile or drone activity. Regional alerts remain elevated amid the broader Israel-Iran conflict cycle that produced prior closures in February-March 2026, yet no qualifying closure has occurred since. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming weeks could still trigger a reassessment if threats intensify.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes