Recent forecast models from sources including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to overnight minima in Kuala Lumpur on August 31 near 25–27°C amid persistent haze and isolated showers, consistent with late-monsoon patterns and slightly above-normal temperatures observed through late August 2026. These conditions, with daytime peaks near 33–34°C and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid skies, underpin trader emphasis on the 30°C-or-higher outcome at 47% implied probability while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C and nearby values. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable thunderstorm timing, yet historical analogs and current pressure patterns limit downside risk to the 20°C-or-below range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Kuala Lumpur el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Kuala Lumpur el 31 de agosto?
20°C or below 85%
30°C or higher 79%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
20°C or below
85%
21°C
18%
22°C
19%
23°C
49%
24°C
14%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
22%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
79%
20°C or below 85%
30°C or higher 79%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to overnight minima in Kuala Lumpur on August 31 near 25–27°C amid persistent haze and isolated showers, consistent with late-monsoon patterns and slightly above-normal temperatures observed through late August 2026. These conditions, with daytime peaks near 33–34°C and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid skies, underpin trader emphasis on the 30°C-or-higher outcome at 47% implied probability while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C and nearby values. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable thunderstorm timing, yet historical analogs and current pressure patterns limit downside risk to the 20°C-or-below range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to overnight minima in Kuala Lumpur on August 31 near 25–27°C amid persistent haze and isolated showers, consistent with late-monsoon patterns and slightly above-normal temperatures observed through late August 2026. These conditions, with daytime peaks near 33–34°C and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid skies, underpin trader emphasis on the 30°C-or-higher outcome at 47% implied probability while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C and nearby values. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable thunderstorm timing, yet historical analogs and current pressure patterns limit downside risk to the 20°C-or-below range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to overnight minima in Kuala Lumpur on August 31 near 25–27°C amid persistent haze and isolated showers, consistent with late-monsoon patterns and slightly above-normal temperatures observed through late August 2026. These conditions, with daytime peaks near 33–34°C and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid skies, underpin trader emphasis on the 30°C-or-higher outcome at 47% implied probability while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C and nearby values. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable thunderstorm timing, yet historical analogs and current pressure patterns limit downside risk to the 20°C-or-below range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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