Current Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, reinforced by surface observations through midday on June 14, points to a minimum air temperature of 13 °C in central London under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling beneath broken high cloud. This outcome aligns with climatological June overnight lows near 12–14 °C and reflects the absence of stronger radiative cooling or advection of cooler maritime air that would be required to reach 12 °C or below. The 99 % market-implied probability embeds high in these stable synoptic conditions persisting through the final hours of the diurnal cycle. Only an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or sharp increase in low-level moisture leading to enhanced long-wave radiative loss could realistically shift the minimum outside the 13 °C bin before official recording closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 14 de junio?
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,534 Vol.
$21,534 Vol.
14 jun 2026
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o más
<1%
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,534 Vol.
$21,534 Vol.
14 jun 2026
7°C o menos
$790 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$733 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,662 Vol.
1%
12°C
$2,470 Vol.
2%
13°C
$5,456 Vol.
99%
14°C
$5,107 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
17°C o más
$585 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, reinforced by surface observations through midday on June 14, points to a minimum air temperature of 13 °C in central London under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling beneath broken high cloud. This outcome aligns with climatological June overnight lows near 12–14 °C and reflects the absence of stronger radiative cooling or advection of cooler maritime air that would be required to reach 12 °C or below. The 99 % market-implied probability embeds high in these stable synoptic conditions persisting through the final hours of the diurnal cycle. Only an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or sharp increase in low-level moisture leading to enhanced long-wave radiative loss could realistically shift the minimum outside the 13 °C bin before official recording closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$21,534Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, reinforced by surface observations through midday on June 14, points to a minimum air temperature of 13 °C in central London under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling beneath broken high cloud. This outcome aligns with climatological June overnight lows near 12–14 °C and reflects the absence of stronger radiative cooling or advection of cooler maritime air that would be required to reach 12 °C or below. The 99 % market-implied probability embeds high in these stable synoptic conditions persisting through the final hours of the diurnal cycle. Only an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or sharp increase in low-level moisture leading to enhanced long-wave radiative loss could realistically shift the minimum outside the 13 °C bin before official recording closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,534Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, reinforced by surface observations through midday on June 14, points to a minimum air temperature of 13 °C in central London under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling beneath broken high cloud. This outcome aligns with climatological June overnight lows near 12–14 °C and reflects the absence of stronger radiative cooling or advection of cooler maritime air that would be required to reach 12 °C or below. The 99 % market-implied probability embeds high in these stable synoptic conditions persisting through the final hours of the diurnal cycle. Only an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or sharp increase in low-level moisture leading to enhanced long-wave radiative loss could realistically shift the minimum outside the 13 °C bin before official recording closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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