Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate overnight lows for London on June 18 around 15–18°C amid generally mild, anticyclonic conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, supporting the tight market split between 16°C and 17°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer cooling rates and urban heat-island effects overnight, while climatological June minima average near 12°C. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown only minor shifts in predicted minimums, keeping trader focus on final observational adjustments at the resolution station before the overnight period concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 18 de junio?
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 5.8%
15°C 4.3%
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C o más
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 5.8%
15°C 4.3%
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate overnight lows for London on June 18 around 15–18°C amid generally mild, anticyclonic conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, supporting the tight market split between 16°C and 17°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer cooling rates and urban heat-island effects overnight, while climatological June minima average near 12°C. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown only minor shifts in predicted minimums, keeping trader focus on final observational adjustments at the resolution station before the overnight period concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes